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Forecasting Premier League cards, corners, more – this Saturday

Aug 13, 2022

THIS weekend, there are seven Premier League games on Saturday, so here are valuable insight and foresight in advance of the action.

For the Southampton vs Leeds match:

Last season, Leeds had the worst behavior of any Premier League team, receiving a staggering 106 cards overall, or 2.79 cards per game. We anticipate the visitors to receive the most cards at St. Mary’s because Leeds had two players booked in their victory over Wolves last weekend while Southampton didn’t receive any in their loss at Spurs.

For the Manchester vs Bournemouth match:

It is safe to look forward to a whopping outcome of more than nine total corners when Manchester City hosts Bournemouth because they averaged 8.34 corners a game last year. The Cherries’ season opener, a 2-0 victory over Aston Villa, saw a total of 10 shots fired. Given that Bournemouth will likely be on the back foot, City will almost undoubtedly spend the most of the game attacking and winning many of corners.

Given the difference in caliber between the two teams, City are widely predicted to easily defeat Bournemouth. At West Ham, the champions kept a clean sheet and held them to just one shot on goal. Back City to score a 5-0 victory with their strong offensive possibilities.

For Brighton vs Newcastle match:

Over the course of the previous season, Brighton took 42 more corners than Newcastle did, or more than one extra corner per game. Newcastle was a strong team for cornerbacks toward the end of the previous campaign, but in each of their last two visits, they have won at least two less games than their hosts, allowing the Seagulls to overcome a -1 corner handicap.

For the Wolves vs Fulham match:

Wolves and Fulham both had good behavior previous season; their average number of cards per game was fewer than 2.0. Under 4.5 cards appears to be a solid option in this matchup because Wolves didn’t have a player booked in a 2-1 loss at Leeds last week and Fulham only received two yellow cards in their draw with Liverpool, who have a lot of quick players who attract fouls.

For the Brentford vs Manchester United match:

In the Premier League last year, Brentford averaged the fewest corners per game (4.18), while Manchester United had the seventh-most and finished the year with 40 more victories than Brentford. 

United won six corners to Brighton’s two in their season-opening match, although losing, so they should be able to win at least two more than their opponents on Saturday.

For the Arsenal vs Leicester match:

Last season, Leicester won just 24 fewer corners overall than Arsenal when on the road, where they averaged a respectable 4.84 per game. Despite losing both of their Premier League meetings last season, the Foxes actually had a higher corner total than the Gunners, thus betting on the visitors with a +3 corner handicap appears to be a wise choice.

Last season, Arsenal defeated teams ranked fourth and lower 13 times out of 16 times at home, and they could take advantage of Leicester’s challenging pregame preparation. The Foxes saw both teams score in 84% of their road games last season, but they dropped eight out of ten matches against the top five teams. 

With Arsenal scoring twice in 11 of their 13 home victories and Leicester losing 2-1 on four occasions on the road last season, back the Gunners to win 2-1.

For the Nottingham vs West Ham match:

Last weekend, these two teams attempted just five and six shots, respectively, the fewest of any Premier League teams. Goals are probably going to be few in this situation, and Forest may find it difficult to score. 

The Hammers have triumphed in seven of their past ten travels to opponents in the lower half of the table and have won 10 of their last 14 games against promoted teams. Back them to win 1-0 against a Forest team that hasn’t yet found its identity.

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